Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABNT20 KNHC 150503
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A well-defined area of low pressure located over the central
tropical Atlantic is producing occasional showers and
thunderstorms. This system remains embedded in a dry air
environment, and development is unlikely over the next couple of
days. However, this system is forecast to move generally westward
and environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable
for gradual development by the middle to latter part of this week. A
tropical depression could form as the system begins moving
west-northwestward and approaches or moves near the Leeward Islands
late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could develop over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portions of this week. Some
gradual development is possible thereafter if the system stays over
water while it moves slowly west-northwestward towards northern
Central America. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall
is possible across portions of Central America later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 15 Oct 2024 05:22:50 GMT