Mesoscale Discussion
SPC MD 595
MD 0595 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 185... FOR NORTHEAST WISCONSIN...SOUTHERN U.P. OF MICHIGAN
Mesoscale Discussion 0595 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1035 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Areas affected...Northeast Wisconsin...southern U.P. of Michigan Concerning...Tornado Watch 185... Valid 290335Z - 290500Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 185 continues. SUMMARY...Strong-severe convection will spread across northeast Wisconsin into the southern portions of the U.P. of Michigan. New watch is not currently anticipated. DISCUSSION...A long-lived elongated MCS is progressing east-northeast across WI. Much of this activity has struggled to generate more than isolated damaging winds and hail, though one notable supercell is tracking along this corridor over Langlade/Menominee County. Latest VWP data from GRB exhibits intense 0-3km SRH as a strong LLJ is focused across IA into this portion of the upper Great Lakes. While some tornado risk continues, especially with embedded supercells, the primary concern going forward appears to be wind/hail. Latest radar data supports a strengthening low-level warm advection regime as numerous elevated storms extend across the southern U.P. of MI. At this time a new watch is not anticipated downstream across the U.P., but some risk for hail may be noted, especially over Menominee County MI. ..Darrow.. 04/29/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB... LAT...LON 45328916 46058693 45058671 44478899 45328916 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 INRead more
SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)
Public Severe Weather OutlookPUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0852 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Upper Midwest this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Wisconsin Northern Iowa Far Southeast Minnesota * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered large hail, some baseball size Scattered damaging winds * SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Gleason.. 04/29/2025Read more